First, today's gap, like the gap on October 8, can never be left. A shares have begun to turn around and the market has entered a new stage.Gap theory has not failed, but the current trend of A-shares is no longer a normal market behavior. It creates a rise for the sake of rising, and there is no market to create a market, in order to let more retail investors enter the market.Let's take a look at the A-share 924 market. Since then, there have been four gaps below the A-share market, which have not been covered. This makes some people say that gap theory is invalid and does not adapt to A-shares, which means that A-shares are invincible in the world, and the technical rules of the stock market that have existed for a hundred years are useless in A-shares, which shows that A-shares are strong. I think this is arrogance.
As mentioned above, from November 4 to 27, I have completed one long trap, and immediately started the second long trap on November 27, which has been running for 11 trading days. Today, the high point is 3494 points. This long trap has entered the stage of closing the net today. Whether it is to close the net quickly or cut the meat with a blunt knife depends on whether the A-share market can find support at 3380 points tomorrow.Today, the A50 futures index continued to fall, approaching the closing of A shares, and its decline was close to 4%, which was almost 90% of the total increase yesterday. It was precisely because of the continuous decline of the index that the A-share market also surged back today, and it was heavy, which basically confirmed that November 8 was the second highest point of the 924 market, and today's 3494 point was the third highest point. Technically speaking, today was a counter-draw to 3509 points, with a sharp correction at the end of the session.
Second, according to the normal market trend, it should be noted here that it is normal, not artificial. On October 18th, the A-share market should fill the gap on September 30th. Why didn't it?Let's take a look at the four gaps left by the 924 market: September 24, September 25, September 27 and September 30. Apart from the relatively small gap left on September 24, we can take a seat according to gap theory: September 25 is a breakthrough gap, September 27 is a persistent gap, and the gap left on September 30 is an all-out gap.Today's A-share rise is the compensatory trend of A50 futures index. Today's A50 futures index plummets, and tomorrow's A-share market will have a compensatory decline trend. We can observe the support level around 3380. If this position is supported, the market will be a slow decline trend. If it is not supported, it will be a rapid decline trend.
Strategy guide
12-13
Strategy guide
12-13